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Dollar slips with Treasury yields as yen awaits BOJ decision

U.S. bond yields hit their lowest in more than a month, while markets put the probability of a December rate increase in Japan at about 80%.

Currency trading screens alongside U.S. government bond yield charts
Photo: CNA

U.S. Treasury yields reached their lowest levels in more than a month on October 30, accompanying a softer dollar as investors sold AI shares. The yen was little changed ahead of a Bank of Japan decision widely expected to leave its policy rate at 1.25%.

The dollar index eased to 101.77, though it remained headed for a second consecutive monthly increase, with an October gain of 0.3%. The 10-year Treasury note yielded 4.8958%, while the yield on 30-year bonds dropped to 5.2623%.

Alphabet's results had renewed concerns about AI spending, prompting a retreat from equities and demand for government debt. OCBC FX strategist Sim Moh Siong said the response differed from an energy-driven shift away from risk: U.S.-centered AI worries coincided with falling Treasury yields and a weaker or subdued dollar.

Japan's currency edged down to around 157.815 per dollar, leaving it headed for a monthly loss of 0.2%. Markets assigned roughly an 80% probability to a December rate increase. The European Central Bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand had already held rates steady.

The euro traded unchanged at $1.1185, on course for a 1.2% October decline. Sterling rose 0.1% to $1.3390, taking its monthly advance to 1%. Brent crude futures were heading for an 11.5% monthly gain, extending their run of increases to a fourth month.

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About the author

Tunde Balogun

Markets Editor

Edits and reviews market stories: stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, the major indices, Treasury yields and the market reaction to data and central banks.