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US yields rise and stocks fall as inflation strengthens case for larger Fed hike

October consumer prices rose 0.4%, exceeding economists’ forecasts, while core inflation also came in above expectations.

Financial screens displaying bond yields, stock indices and currency prices
Photo: CNA

US government bond yields rose and Wall Street shares declined after October inflation exceeded forecasts, increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates by half a percentage point in December. The dollar strengthened, while gold prices fell.

Official data showed consumer prices increased 0.4% in October, compared with economists’ forecast of 0.3% and September’s 0.6% rise. Excluding food and energy, core inflation was 0.3%, above the 0.2% consensus.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller had said earlier in London that an October core inflation reading of 0.3% would lead him to consider a half-point increase at the December 8-9 meeting. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan separately said at least two additional quarter-point increases were needed to reduce inflation.

The November 10 market figures showed the 2-year Treasury yield up 19.28 basis points at 4.74%. The benchmark 10-year yield increased 12.76 basis points to 4.988%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.57% to 52,087.13, while the S&P 500 declined 0.71% to 7,496.63. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.90% to 25,025.83.

Outside the United States, MSCI’s global stock gauge slipped 0.21% to 1,106.21, but Europe’s STOXX 600 gained 0.4%. The dollar index advanced 0.6% to 102.29. Spot gold fell 2.3% to $4,043.73 an ounce.

Oil reached fresh two-month lows after US officials played down the need for further military action against Iran. US crude declined 1.39% to $85.67 a barrel, while Brent fell 2.03% to $90.69 per barrel.

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About the author

Tunde Balogun

Markets Editor

Edits and reviews market stories: stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, the major indices, Treasury yields and the market reaction to data and central banks.