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Philippines lifts key rate to 5.5% in bigger-than-expected increase

The central bank raised borrowing costs for a fourth consecutive time as inflation accelerated, with further tightening still possible.

Philippine peso banknotes beside a chart of interest rates
Photo: CNA

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas raised its policy rate by 50 basis points on October 22, taking it to 5.5% as policymakers sought to contain spreading inflation pressures. The Philippine central bank signaled that it could increase rates again.

The fourth consecutive increase was larger than economists anticipated: each of the 27 surveyed had forecast a quarter-point rise. The BSP said stronger action was necessary to address inflation risks, limit knock-on price effects and keep expectations anchored.

September brought an acceleration in inflation after four consecutive monthly slowdowns. That left policymakers confronting renewed price pressures alongside weak growth during the year's first half. The peso strengthened immediately after the decision but subsequently reversed those gains, approaching a record low.

The BSP left its current-year average inflation estimate unchanged at 6.1%. For the following year, it lifted the forecast from 5.4% to 6.0%, pointing to expensive global oil and risks linked to El Nino. It projects inflation of 3.3% in 2028, within its target range.

Governor Eli Remolona said an anticipated economic recovery, helped by fiscal measures, provided scope for policy adjustments. He said policymakers remained willing to raise interest rates further.

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About the author

Ananya Iyer

Economy & Policy Editor

Edits and reviews stories on the economy and economic policy: growth, inflation, jobs, central banks, the IMF and World Bank, fiscal and trade policy, and regulators' rules.