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Bank of Korea keeps rate at 3% after two consecutive hikes

Inflation eased to 2.9% in September but remained above target, while strong exports supported growth.

Illustration of South Korean won banknotes beside an interest rate chart
Photo: CNA

South Korea's central bank held its benchmark rate at 3% on October 22, interrupting a tightening cycle that included quarter-point increases in July and August. All 34 analysts surveyed had anticipated the decision.

The Bank of Korea's seven-member policy board kept the seven-day repurchase rate steady after delivering its first consecutive increases in more than three years. Governor Shin Hyun Song had subsequently signaled a preference for gradual tightening.

At an International Monetary Fund event on October 13, Shin reiterated that monetary policy would stay restrictive until inflation returned to target. September consumer inflation was 2.9%, down from August's 3.1% but still exceeding the central bank's 2% goal.

Exports have benefited from global investment in artificial intelligence, with January-to-September shipments exceeding $800 billion for the first time. Chip-related demand has helped support economic growth.

The survey's median forecast pointed to a November increase that would take the benchmark to 3.25%, matching the central bank's dot plot projection. Before the decision, NH Investment & Securities analyst Kang Seung-won said recent market volatility, particularly in stocks, would make a hawkish stance difficult.

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About the author

Ananya Iyer

Economy & Policy Editor

Edits and reviews stories on the economy and economic policy: growth, inflation, jobs, central banks, the IMF and World Bank, fiscal and trade policy, and regulators' rules.