Alexander Lukashenko, the long-standing leader of Belarus, is poised to extend his three-decade rule in the upcoming 2025 presidential election. Despite the presence of four other candidates, there is little doubt that Lukashenko will secure another term. His campaign slogan, "Not instead of, but together with Lukashenko!" underscores his continued dominance in Belarusian politics. However, the election takes place against a backdrop of tension and skepticism, with the European Parliament dismissing it as a "sham."
The political atmosphere in Belarus remains fraught with uncertainty. Many citizens express fear of instability and potential changes that new leadership might bring. Lukashenko's firm grip on power has been bolstered by his close ties with Russia, further solidifying his position. Critics label him "Europe's last dictator," a moniker that reflects his authoritarian rule and the controversial nature of his elections.
The international community, including the UK, the European Union, and the United States, refuses to recognize Lukashenko as Belarus's legitimate president. This stance stems from accusations of electoral fraud and human rights violations. The 2020 presidential election, which allegedly awarded Lukashenko 80% of the vote, ignited massive protests throughout the country. In response, the government launched a severe crackdown on dissenters, leading to thousands of arrests.
Belarusian citizens hold mixed views on Lukashenko's leadership. Sergei, a welder, expresses contentment with the current regime, stating:
"I want a stable salary, stability in the country."
He further adds:
"Other candidates make promises, but might not keep them. I want to keep what I've got."
Similarly, Zenaida voices her concerns about potential instability, remarking:
"Maybe there are other people worthy of power. But by the time a younger leader gets his feet under the desk, makes those important connections with other countries, and with his own people that will take a long time."
Her apprehension about change is amplified by her fear of Belarus becoming embroiled in conflict similar to Ukraine’s situation:
"God forbid we should end up like Ukraine."
Despite these sentiments, Lukashenko's popularity is contested. While some assert that his support base is substantial, others dispute this claim. The harsh government response to protests and the suppression of opposition voices have intensified these divisions. Lukashenko's opponents are either imprisoned or forced into exile, leaving little room for alternative political narratives.
The election campaign itself has unfolded amidst a tense atmosphere. Lukashenko's dismissive attitude towards the electoral process is evident in his statement:
"I'm not following the election campaign. I've got no time."
This nonchalant approach contrasts sharply with the anxiety felt by many Belarusians who fear potential upheaval.
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